Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Vancouver, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 28 July 2026, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Vancouver 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Harry Wendelken		Murphy Cassone

	1	2
	2.2	1.62	Watch
	2.15	1.62
	2.22	1.59	Watch
	2.33	1.65
	2.21	1.59	Watch
	2.45	1.54	Watch
	2.23	1.58	Watch
	2.25	1.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.26 ↑ (2)	1.6 ↓ (1.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Harry Wendelken
41.5%

Murphy Cassone
58.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

46.4%

53.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.3%

50.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Harry Wendelken has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

Murphy Cassone has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Harry Wendelken than the current prediction. (+7.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Harry Wendelken, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Murphy Cassone than the current prediction. (-7.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Murphy Cassone, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

Harry Wendelken - Murphy Cassone Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Wendelken (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Harry Wendelken will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Wendelken is ranked ATP: 204. Cassone is ranked ATP: 269.

In recent matches, Wendelken has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Cassone is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Wendelken may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

We predict that Cassone will win today's game, with odds of 1.71.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Wendelken won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Harry Wendelken - the odds 2 are the expected chance of winning is 46.38%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Murphy Cassone - the odds 1.73 are the expected chance of winning is 53.62%, but this team recently wins 42% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Harry Wendelken
ATP Wimbledon
30.06.26	Valentin Royer - Harry Wendelken	3:1 ✺
ATP Eastbourne
20.06.26	Harry Wendelken - Aleksandar Vukic	0:2 ✺
ATP London
14.06.26	Aleksandar Vukic - Harry Wendelken	0:2 ✺
13.06.26	Harry Wendelken - Adam Walton	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
08.06.26	Harry Wendelken - Jack Pinnington Jones	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LLWWL
- Murphy Cassone
ATP Challenger
21.07.26	Murphy Cassone - Charles Broom	Canceled ✺
18.07.26	Murphy Cassone - Arthur Gea	0:2 ✺
17.07.26	Philip Sekulic - Murphy Cassone	0:2 ✺
16.07.26	Blaise Bicknell - Murphy Cassone	1:2 ✺
14.07.26	Murphy Cassone - Tristan Schoolkate	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 ?LWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
09.06.25	Murphy Cassone - Harry Wendelken	2:0

Harry Wendelken - Murphy Cassone