Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Granby, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 18 July 2026, Saturday


	Murphy Cassone		Arthur Gea

	1	2
			Watch
	2.75	1.40
	2.75	1.42	Watch
	3.10	1.42
	2.53	1.46	Watch
	3.00	1.39	Watch
	2.47	1.48	Watch
	2.70	1.40
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.76 ↑ (2.17)	1.42 ↓ (1.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Murphy Cassone
34.1%

Arthur Gea
65.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.4%

57.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.1%

52.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Murphy Cassone has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Murphy Cassone's form might have worsened.

Arthur Gea has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Arthur Gea's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Murphy Cassone than the current prediction. (+13%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Murphy Cassone, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arthur Gea than the current prediction. (-13%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Arthur Gea, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Murphy Cassone - Arthur Gea Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Gea (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

#ad

Preview

Cassone is ranked ATP: 287. Gea is ranked ATP: 137.

Recent performances by Cassone have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Gea is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Cassone may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Gea will hold a modest advantage in this match.

We predict that Gea will win today's game, with odds of 1.52.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Arthur Gea - the odds 1.6 are the expected chance of winning is 57.6%, but this team recently wins 36% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Murphy Cassone
ATP Challenger
17.07.26	Philip Sekulic - Murphy Cassone	0:2 ✺
16.07.26	Blaise Bicknell - Murphy Cassone	1:2 ✺
14.07.26	Murphy Cassone - Tristan Schoolkate	2:1 ✺
08.07.26	Murphy Cassone - Darwin Blanch	1:2 ✺
ATP Mallorca
24.06.26	Murphy Cassone - Ethan Quinn	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WWWLL
- Arthur Gea
ATP Challenger
17.07.26	Liam Draxl - Arthur Gea	1:2 ✺
16.07.26	Keegan Rice - Arthur Gea	0:2 ✺
14.07.26	Fajing Sun - Arthur Gea	0:2 ✺
10.07.26	Arthur Gea - Adam Walton	0:2 ✺
09.07.26	Arthur Gea - Tristan Schoolkate	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WWWLW

Upcoming Matches