Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Jiujiang, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 7 May 2026, Thursday


	Heather Watson		Xiaodi You

	1	2
	1.62	2.2	Watch
	1.6	2.15	Watch
	1.7	2.28
	1.61	2.21	Watch
	1.62	2.3
	1.65	2.25	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↓ (1.83)	2.23 ↑ (1.85)

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Heather Watson
57.7%

Xiaodi You
42.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.3%

49.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47%

53%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Heather Watson has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Heather Watson's performance.

Xiaodi You has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Xiaodi You might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Heather Watson than the current prediction. (-10.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Heather Watson that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Xiaodi You than the current prediction. (+10.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Xiaodi You could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Heather Watson - Xiaodi You Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Watson is ranked WTA: 354. You is ranked WTA: 194.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Watson will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Heather Watson - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50.27%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Xiaodi You - the odds 1.85 are the expected chance of winning is 49.73%, but this team recently wins 64% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Heather Watson
ATP Challenger
05.05.26	Heather Watson - Kyoka Okamura	2:0 ✺
05.05.26	Mananchaya Sawangkaew - Heather Watson	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
28.04.26	Heather Watson - Aoi Ito	0:2 ✺
24.03.26	Daria Snigur - Heather Watson	Watson H. retired ✺
19.03.26	Greetje Minnen - Heather Watson	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 WWL?L
- Xiaodi You
ATP Challenger
06.05.26	Carol Zhao - Xiaodi You	Zhao C. Retired ✺
05.05.26	Jiaqi Wang - Xiaodi You	0:2 ✺
27.04.26	Xiaodi You - Jia-Jing Lu	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
17.04.26	Xiaodi You - Zhuoxuan Bai	You X. Retired ✺
15.04.26	Xiaodi You - Jiaqi Wang	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 ?WL?W

Heather Watson - Xiaodi You: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide