Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Szczecin, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 12 September 2025, Friday


	Henri Squire		Facundo Diaz Acosta

	1	2
	2.75	1.4	Watch
	2.55	1.45	Watch
	2.7	1.41
	2.78	1.48
	2.69	1.45	Watch
	2.66	1.44	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.69 ↑ (2.38)	1.44 ↓ (1.51)

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Henri Squire
34.9%

Facundo Diaz Acosta
65.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.8%

61.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.6%

63.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Henri Squire has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Facundo Diaz Acosta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Henri Squire than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Facundo Diaz Acosta than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Henri Squire - Facundo Diaz Acosta Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Squire will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Diaz Acosta will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Squire (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Squire is ranked ATP: 355. Diaz Acosta is ranked ATP: 314.

Squire is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Diaz Acosta's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Diaz Acosta may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Diaz Acosta could have a small edge in this match.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Henri Squire - the odds 2.38 are the expected chance of winning is 38.79%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Henri Squire
ATP Challenger
10.09.25	Francesco Passaro - Henri Squire	1:2 ✺
09.09.25	Ivan Gakhov - Henri Squire	1:2 ✺
08.09.25	Henri Squire - Niklas Schell	2:0 ✺
07.09.25	Henri Squire - Szymon Kielan	2:0 ✺
30.08.25	Henri Squire - Luka Mikrut	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WWWWL
- Facundo Diaz Acosta
ATP Challenger
10.09.25	Facundo Diaz Acosta - Hynek Barton	2:1 ✺
08.09.25	Elias Ymer - Facundo Diaz Acosta	0:2 ✺
01.09.25	Facundo Diaz Acosta - Pablo Llamas Ruiz	0:2 ✺
25.08.25	Gonzalo Bueno - Facundo Diaz Acosta	2:1 ✺
29.07.25	Niels McDonald - Facundo Diaz Acosta	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 WWLL?

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