Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Szczecin, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 8 September 2025, Monday


	Elias Ymer		Facundo Diaz Acosta

	1	2
	2.63	1.44	Watch
	2.6	1.44	Watch
	2.55	1.45	Watch
	2.67	1.42
	2.85	1.38	Watch
	2.66	1.44	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.66 ↑ (2.61)	1.43 ↓ (1.45)

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Elias Ymer
34.9%

Facundo Diaz Acosta
65.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.6%

64.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.2%

66.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Elias Ymer has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Facundo Diaz Acosta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elias Ymer than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Facundo Diaz Acosta than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	0%	87.5%

Elias Ymer - Facundo Diaz Acosta Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Diaz Acosta (votes: 2 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Facundo Diaz Acosta will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

#ad

Preview

Ymer is ranked ATP: 231. Diaz Acosta is ranked ATP: 256.

Both players are currently in poor form.

Diaz Acosta might have a minor edge in this game.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Elias Ymer
ATP Challenger
01.09.25	Dusan Lajovic - Elias Ymer	2:1 ✺
25.08.25	Pedro Araujo - Elias Ymer	2:1 ✺
ATP US Open
18.08.25	Patrick Maloney - Elias Ymer	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
01.08.25	Elias Ymer - Hugo Grenier	1:2 ✺
30.07.25	Elias Ymer - Mikhail Kukushkin	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LLLLW
- Facundo Diaz Acosta
ATP Challenger
01.09.25	Facundo Diaz Acosta - Pablo Llamas Ruiz	0:2 ✺
25.08.25	Gonzalo Bueno - Facundo Diaz Acosta	2:1 ✺
29.07.25	Niels McDonald - Facundo Diaz Acosta	Canceled ✺
25.07.25	Facundo Diaz Acosta - Jakub Paul	0:2 ✺
24.07.25	Facundo Diaz Acosta - Daniel Vallejo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LL?LW

Elias Ymer - Facundo Diaz Acosta: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide