Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Ostrava (Czech Republic), clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 22 April 2024, Monday

Referee: Michalik J. (Cze)


	Henrique Rocha		Daniel Rincon

	1	2
	1.62	2.2	Watch
	1.57	2.25
	1.52	2.4	Watch
	1.57	2.46
	1.57	2.46
	1.62	2.2	Watch
	1.59	2.28	Watch
	1.57	2.26
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↓ (1.84)	2.31 ↑ (1.84)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Henrique Rocha
59.4%

Daniel Rincon
40.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.9%

48.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Henrique Rocha has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Henrique Rocha's performance.

Daniel Rincon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Daniel Rincon might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Henrique Rocha than the current prediction. (-7.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Henrique Rocha that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Daniel Rincon than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Daniel Rincon could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Henrique Rocha - Daniel Rincon Predictions

Users Predictions: Henrique Rocha will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Rincon could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Rocha will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Rocha won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Henrique Rocha
ATP Challenger
16.04.24	Ugo Blanchet - Henrique Rocha	2:0 ✺
ATP Estoril
03.04.24	Henrique Rocha - Gael Monfils	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
27.03.24	Henrique Rocha - Christian Garin	1:2 ✺
24.03.24	Nikoloz Basilashvili - Henrique Rocha	1:2 ✺
23.03.24	Henrique Rocha - Pablo Llamas Ruiz	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LLLWW
- Daniel Rincon
ATP Barcelona
15.04.24	Facundo Diaz Acosta - Daniel Rincon	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
09.04.24	Daniel Rincon - Bernabe Zapata Miralles	0:2 ✺
08.04.24	Daniel Rincon - Marvin Moeller	2:0 ✺
07.04.24	Daniel Rincon - Pablo Manzano Lapuerta	2:0 ✺
02.04.24	Radu Albot - Daniel Rincon	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
20.02.24	Henrique Rocha - Daniel Rincon	2:1

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