Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: GIRONA (SPAIN), CLAY - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 27 March 2024, Wednesday


	Henrique Rocha		Christian Garin

	1	2
	2.38	1.53	Watch
	2.35	1.53	Watch
	2.5	1.48	Watch
	2.52	1.54
	2.53	1.54
	2.62	1.44	Watch
	2.53	1.49	Watch
	2.45	1.49
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.49 ↑ (2.36)	1.51 ↓ (1.54)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Henrique Rocha
37.7%

Christian Garin
62.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.4%

60.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.5%

60.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Henrique Rocha has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Christian Garin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Henrique Rocha than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Christian Garin than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
70%	0%	30%

Henrique Rocha - Christian Garin Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Rocha will win (votes: 7 - 70%). Garin will win (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Rocha: 41.6% – 98.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Rocha in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recent matches Garin is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Garin could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Garin is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Rocha to win the game is with odds 2.91.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Henrique Rocha
ATP Challenger
24.03.24	Nikoloz Basilashvili - Henrique Rocha	1:2 ✺
23.03.24	Henrique Rocha - Pablo Llamas Ruiz	2:1 ✺
22.03.24	Radu Albot - Henrique Rocha	0:2 ✺
20.03.24	Henrique Rocha - Gregoire Barrere	2:0 ✺
18.03.24	Henrique Rocha - Oriol Roca Batalla	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.5 WWWWW
- Christian Garin
ATP Miami
18.03.24	Christian Garin - Valentin Vacherot	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
13.03.24	Christian Garin - Luca Van Assche	1:2 ✺
12.03.24	Christian Garin - Nicolas Moreno De Alboran	2:0 ✺
11.03.24	Christian Garin - Damir Dzumhur	2:1 ✺
ATP Santiago
27.02.24	Christian Garin - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LLWWL

Henrique Rocha - Christian Garin: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide