Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Estoril (Portugal), clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 3 April 2024, Wednesday

Referee: Bernardes C. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Croatia	SportKlub
Czech-republic	Premier Sport 3
Finland	MTV Katsomo
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top event
Romania	Prima Sport 3
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub


	Henrique Rocha		Gael Monfils

	1	2
	3.75	1.29	Watch
	3.4	1.3
	3.4	1.3	Watch
	3.71	1.31
	3.71	1.32
	3.6	1.29	Watch
	3.51	1.31	Watch
	3.65	1.27
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.59 ↑ (2.41)	1.3 ↓ (1.48)

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Henrique Rocha
26.6%

Gael Monfils
73.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38%

62%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.5%

62.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Henrique Rocha has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Henrique Rocha's form might have worsened.

Gael Monfils has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gael Monfils's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Henrique Rocha than the current prediction. (+10.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Henrique Rocha, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gael Monfils than the current prediction. (-10.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gael Monfils, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
46.2%	0%	53.8%

Henrique Rocha - Gael Monfils Predictions

Users Predictions: 26 users predict this event. Rocha will win (votes: 12 - 46.2%). Monfils will win (votes: 14 - 53.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Monfils: 34.6% – 73%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Rocha is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Monfils is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Monfils could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Monfils is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Henrique Rocha
ATP Challenger
27.03.24	Henrique Rocha - Christian Garin	1:2 ✺
24.03.24	Nikoloz Basilashvili - Henrique Rocha	1:2 ✺
23.03.24	Henrique Rocha - Pablo Llamas Ruiz	2:1 ✺
22.03.24	Radu Albot - Henrique Rocha	0:2 ✺
20.03.24	Henrique Rocha - Gregoire Barrere	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.2 LWWWW
- Gael Monfils
ATP Miami
25.03.24	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Gael Monfils	2:0 ✺
23.03.24	Gael Monfils - Jordan Thompson	2:1 ✺
21.03.24	Dusan Lajovic - Gael Monfils	0:2 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
13.03.24	Casper Ruud - Gael Monfils	2:1 ✺
11.03.24	Cameron Norrie - Gael Monfils	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LWWLW

Henrique Rocha - Gael Monfils: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide