Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Ilkley, grass - 1/8-finals

Date: 12 June 2026, Friday


	Henrique Rocha		Darwin Blanch

	1	2
	1.83	1.83	Watch
	1.80	1.91
	1.81	1.9
	1.82	2.07
	1.77	1.94	Watch
	1.83	1.83	Watch
	1.78	1.9	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↓ (1.97)	1.91 ↑ (1.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 23.00

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Henrique Rocha
51.4%

Darwin Blanch
48.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47%

53%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.8%

58.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Henrique Rocha has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

Darwin Blanch has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Henrique Rocha than the current prediction. (-9.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Henrique Rocha that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Darwin Blanch than the current prediction. (+9.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Darwin Blanch could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90%	0%	10%

Henrique Rocha - Darwin Blanch Predictions

Users Predictions: Henrique Rocha will win (17 of 19 users predict this - 89.47%).
Confidence interval (95%): 75.67% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Rocha is ranked ATP: 121. Blanch is ranked ATP: 219.

Rocha has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Blanch has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Rocha may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Darwin Blanch - the odds 1.75 are the expected chance of winning is 52.96%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Henrique Rocha
ATP Challenger
10.06.26	Henrique Rocha - Charles Broom	2:0 ✺
07.06.26	Henrique Rocha - Daniel Merida Aguilar	2:0 ✺
06.06.26	Timofey Skatov - Henrique Rocha	0:2 ✺
05.06.26	Henrique Rocha - Remy Bertola	2:1 ✺
04.06.26	Henrique Rocha - Dusan Lajovic	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WWWWW
- Darwin Blanch
ATP Challenger
10.06.26	Darwin Blanch - Christopher OConnell	2:1 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
22.05.26	Darwin Blanch - Luka Pavlovic	0:2 ✺
20.05.26	Tristan Schoolkate - Darwin Blanch	0:2 ✺
19.05.26	Darwin Blanch - Timofey Skatov	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
11.05.26	Darwin Blanch - Jack Pinnington Jones	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WLWWL

Henrique Rocha - Darwin Blanch: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide