Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Perugia, clay - Final

Date: 7 June 2026, Sunday


	Henrique Rocha		Daniel Merida Aguilar

	1	2
	2.38	1.53	Watch
	2.30	1.55	Watch
	2.32	1.54
	2.49	1.6
	2.28	1.57	Watch
	2.38	1.53	Watch
	2.3	1.55	Watch
	1.03	1.03
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.19 ↑ (1.03)	1.49 ↑ (1.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Henrique Rocha
40.5%

Daniel Merida Aguilar
59.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Henrique Rocha has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Henrique Rocha's form might have worsened.

Daniel Merida Aguilar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Daniel Merida Aguilar's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	0%	85.7%

Henrique Rocha - Daniel Merida Aguilar Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Rocha will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Merida Aguilar will win (votes: 6 - 85.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Rocha is ranked ATP: 119. Merida Aguilar is ranked ATP: 86.

Rocha is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Merida Aguilar has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Rocha may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Rocha won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:0. (average 1:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Henrique Rocha
ATP Challenger
06.06.26	Timofey Skatov - Henrique Rocha	0:2 ✺
05.06.26	Henrique Rocha - Remy Bertola	2:1 ✺
04.06.26	Henrique Rocha - Dusan Lajovic	2:0 ✺
02.06.26	Henrique Rocha - Enrico Dalla Valle	2:0 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
20.05.26	Henrique Rocha - Borna Gojo	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WWWWL
- Daniel Merida Aguilar
ATP Challenger
06.06.26	Daniel Merida Aguilar - Andrea Pellegrino	2:1 ✺
05.06.26	Pablo Llamas Ruiz - Daniel Merida Aguilar	0:2 ✺
03.06.26	Liam Broady - Daniel Merida Aguilar	0:2 ✺
01.06.26	Gianluca Cadenasso - Daniel Merida Aguilar	Cadenasso G. Retired ✺
ATP Roland Garros
25.05.26	Daniel Merida Aguilar - Ben Shelton	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WWW?L

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
15.06.23	Daniel Merida Aguilar - Henrique Rocha	Merida Aguilar D. retired
ATP Challenger
27.11.22	Henrique Rocha - Daniel Merida Aguilar	2:0

Henrique Rocha - Daniel Merida Aguilar: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide