Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Porto, hard - Final

Date: 4 October 2026, Sunday


	Henrique Rocha		Inaki Montes De La Torre

	1	2
	1.36	3	Watch
	1.40	2.75
	1.39	2.75	Watch
	1.41	2.74	Watch
	1.42	2.8
	1.39	2.77	Watch
	1.39	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↓ (1.56)	2.79 ↑ (2.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Henrique Rocha
66.7%

Inaki Montes De La Torre
33.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.4%

40.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.2%

44.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Henrique Rocha has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Henrique Rocha's performance.

Inaki Montes De La Torre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Inaki Montes De La Torre might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Henrique Rocha than the current prediction. (-11.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Henrique Rocha that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Inaki Montes De La Torre than the current prediction. (+11.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Inaki Montes De La Torre could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Henrique Rocha - Inaki Montes De La Torre Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Rocha is ranked ATP: 127., and Montes De La Torre is ranked ATP: 228..

Both players look competitive and well-prepared heading into this encounter.

Rocha could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Rocha holding a narrow advantage.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Last Results with these Odds

Henrique Rocha - the odds 1.56 are the expected chance of winning is 59.38%, but this team recently wins 69% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Henrique Rocha
ATP Challenger
03.10.26	Henrique Rocha - Jerome Kym	Rocha H. win ✺
02.10.26	August Holmgren - Henrique Rocha	0:2 ✺
01.10.26	Mili Poljicak - Henrique Rocha	0:2 ✺
29.09.26	Cezar Cretu - Henrique Rocha	0:2 ✺
11.09.26	Henrique Rocha - Dusan Lajovic	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 ?WWWL
- Inaki Montes De La Torre
ATP Challenger
03.10.26	David Jorda Sanchis - Inaki Montes De La Torre	0:2 ✺
02.10.26	Hugo Grenier - Inaki Montes De La Torre	0:2 ✺
01.10.26	Inaki Montes De La Torre - Jacob Fearnley	Fearnley J. Retired ✺
30.09.26	Luca Potenza - Inaki Montes De La Torre	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
27.09.26	Inaki Montes De La Torre - Alec Deckers	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WW?WL

Henrique Rocha - Inaki Montes De La Torre: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide