Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Porto, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 1 October 2026, Thursday


	Inaki Montes De La Torre		Jacob Fearnley

	1	2
	3.40	1.30	Watch
	3.20	1.30
	3.15	1.34	Watch
	3.26	1.3	Watch
	3.60	1.30
	3.25	1.30	Watch
	3.25	1.30
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.3 ↑ (2.9)	1.31 ↓ (1.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.00

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Inaki Montes De La Torre
28.3%

Jacob Fearnley
71.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.9%

68.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.8%

69.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Inaki Montes De La Torre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Jacob Fearnley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Inaki Montes De La Torre than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jacob Fearnley than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Inaki Montes De La Torre - Jacob Fearnley Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Montes De La Torre will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Fearnley will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Montes De La Torre is ranked ATP: 228., and Fearnley is ranked ATP: 94..

Montes De La Torre is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Fearnley has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Fearnley could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

In this matchup, Fearnley is considered the favorite to take the win.

These two players have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Last Results with these Odds

Jacob Fearnley - the odds 1.36 are the expected chance of winning is 68.08%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Inaki Montes De La Torre
ATP Challenger
30.09.26	Luca Potenza - Inaki Montes De La Torre	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
27.09.26	Inaki Montes De La Torre - Alec Deckers	1:2 ✺
26.09.26	Inaki Montes De La Torre - Michael Agwi	2:0 ✺
25.09.26	Inaki Montes De La Torre - Lui Maxted	2:1 ✺
24.09.26	Inaki Montes De La Torre - Fausto Tabacco	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WLWWW
- Jacob Fearnley
ATP Challenger
30.09.26	Alejo Sanchez Quilez - Jacob Fearnley	0:2 ✺
ATP US Open
02.09.26	Tomas Martin Etcheverry - Jacob Fearnley	3:1 ✺
31.08.26	Martin Landaluce - Jacob Fearnley	2:3 ✺
28.08.26	Jacob Fearnley - Jurij Rodionov	1:2 ✺
26.08.26	Jacob Fearnley - Luka Pavlovic	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WLWLW

Inaki Montes De La Torre - Jacob Fearnley: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide