Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: US Open - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 26 August 2026, Wednesday

Location: USTA Billie Jean King NTC (New York, NY)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	HBO Max


	Henrique Rocha		Lloyd Harris

	1	2
	1.73	2.00
	1.62	2.20
	1.65	2.17
	1.78	2.07
	1.71	2.13	Watch
	1.69	2.15
	1.62	2.21	Watch
	1.69	2.09
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↓ (2.46)	2.13 ↑ (1.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 23.00

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Henrique Rocha
55.8%

Lloyd Harris
44.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.6%

62.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.2%

58.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Henrique Rocha has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+18.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Henrique Rocha's performance.

Lloyd Harris has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-18.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lloyd Harris might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Henrique Rocha than the current prediction. (-14.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Henrique Rocha that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lloyd Harris than the current prediction. (+14.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lloyd Harris could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Henrique Rocha - Lloyd Harris Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Rocha will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Harris will win (votes: 6 - 75%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Harris: 45% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Rocha is ranked ATP: 119. Harris is ranked ATP: 139.

Recent performances by Rocha have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Harris is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Rocha may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Henrique Rocha
ATP US Open
25.08.26	Henrique Rocha - Michael Mmoh	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
20.08.26	Henrique Rocha - Hubert Hurkacz	1:2 ✺
18.08.26	Henrique Rocha - Seong Chan Hong	2:0 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
13.08.26	Henrique Rocha - Nicolas Mejia	1:2 ✺
13.08.26	Marcos Giron - Henrique Rocha	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WLWLW
- Lloyd Harris
ATP US Open
25.08.26	Bernard Tomic - Lloyd Harris	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
22.08.26	Sebastian Baez - Lloyd Harris	2:0 ✺
21.08.26	Vit Kopriva - Lloyd Harris	0:2 ✺
20.08.26	Lloyd Harris - Pablo Llamas Ruiz	Llamas Ruiz P. Retired ✺
19.08.26	Darwin Blanch - Lloyd Harris	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WLW?W

Henrique Rocha - Lloyd Harris: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide