Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Cincinnati - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 13 August 2026, Thursday


	Marcos Giron		Henrique Rocha

	1	2
			Watch
	1.40	2.85	Watch
	1.36	3.00
	1.41	3.02
	1.36	3.04	Watch
	1.37	3
	1.36	2.89	Watch
	1.4	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↓ (1.55)	2.94 ↑ (2.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marcos Giron
68.1%

Henrique Rocha
31.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.4%

40.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.7%

42.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marcos Giron has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Marcos Giron's performance.

Henrique Rocha has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Henrique Rocha might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marcos Giron than the current prediction. (-10.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Marcos Giron that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Henrique Rocha than the current prediction. (+10.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Henrique Rocha could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Marcos Giron - Henrique Rocha Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Giron (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -3 Games - Giron (1.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Marcos Giron will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Giron (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Giron is ranked ATP: 81. Rocha is ranked ATP: 125.

In recent matches, Giron has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Rocha is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Rocha may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Giron will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Marcos Giron - the odds 1.55 are the expected chance of winning is 59.44%, but this team recently wins 88% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marcos Giron
ATP Montreal
04.08.26	Hubert Hurkacz - Marcos Giron	2:1 ✺
01.08.26	Marcos Giron - Pablo Llamas Ruiz	2:1 ✺
ATP Washington
28.07.26	Marcos Giron - Cruz Hewitt	0:2 ✺
26.07.26	Marcos Giron - Andre Ilagan	2:0 ✺
25.07.26	Marcos Giron - Aryan Shah	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LWLWW
- Henrique Rocha
ATP Montreal
01.08.26	Martin Damm - Henrique Rocha	2:0 ✺
ATP Estoril
20.07.26	Henrique Rocha - Pedro Martinez Portero	0:2 ✺
ATP Umag
13.07.26	Damir Dzumhur - Henrique Rocha	2:0 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
22.06.26	Henrique Rocha - Nicolas Mejia	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
15.06.26	Henrique Rocha - Christopher OConnell	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

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