Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Como, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 1 September 2026, Tuesday


	Henry Bernet		Stefano Napolitano

	1	2
			Watch
	1.72	2.00
	1.62	2.23
	1.72	2.20
	1.68	2.05	Watch
	1.70	2.03
	1.64	2.13	Watch
	1.68	2.06
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↑ (1.38)	2.1 ↓ (2.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.50

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Henry Bernet
55.6%

Stefano Napolitano
44.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.8%

33.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65%

35%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Henry Bernet has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Henry Bernet's form might have worsened.

Stefano Napolitano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Stefano Napolitano's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Henry Bernet than the current prediction. (+9.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Henry Bernet, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stefano Napolitano than the current prediction. (-9.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Stefano Napolitano, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Henry Bernet - Stefano Napolitano Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Bernet will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Napolitano will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Bernet is ranked ATP: 423. Napolitano is ranked ATP: 228.

Bernet is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Napolitano is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Napolitano may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

We predict that Bernet will win today's game, with odds of 1.62.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Henry Bernet
ITF Tournaments
30.08.26	Andrey Chepelev - Henry Bernet	0:2 ✺
29.08.26	Henry Bernet - Adrien Burdet	2:0 ✺
28.08.26	Oleksandr Ovcharenko - Henry Bernet	1:2 ✺
27.08.26	Blu Baker - Henry Bernet	0:2 ✺
25.08.26	Marko Maric - Henry Bernet	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WWWWW
- Stefano Napolitano
ATP US Open
24.08.26	Stefano Napolitano - Mackenzie McDonald	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
17.08.26	Stefano Napolitano - Ugo Blanchet	1:2 ✺
27.07.26	Alexandre Muller - Stefano Napolitano	2:0 ✺
20.07.26	Zsombor Piros - Stefano Napolitano	Napolitano S. Retired ✺
17.07.26	Stefano Napolitano - Gonzalo Villanueva	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LLL?L

Henry Bernet - Stefano Napolitano: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide