Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Quebec City - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 17 August 2026, Monday


	Stefano Napolitano		Ugo Blanchet

	1	2
			Watch
	2.40	1.48
	2.23	1.58
	2.63	1.51
	2.42	1.5
	2.60	1.49
	2.45	1.49	Watch
	2.25	1.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.43 ↑ (1.99)	1.51 ↓ (1.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.50

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stefano Napolitano
38.4%

Ugo Blanchet
61.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.2%

53.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stefano Napolitano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Stefano Napolitano's form might have worsened.

Ugo Blanchet has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ugo Blanchet's recent form is better than expected.

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Preview

Napolitano is ranked ATP: 229. Blanchet is ranked ATP: 192.

Recent performances by Napolitano have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Napolitano may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Napolitano won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Stefano Napolitano - the odds 1.99 are the expected chance of winning is 46.17%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stefano Napolitano
ATP Challenger
27.07.26	Alexandre Muller - Stefano Napolitano	2:0 ✺
20.07.26	Zsombor Piros - Stefano Napolitano	Napolitano S. Retired ✺
17.07.26	Stefano Napolitano - Gonzalo Villanueva	0:2 ✺
16.07.26	Stefano Napolitano - Alex Barrena	2:1 ✺
13.07.26	Stefano Napolitano - Felix Balshaw	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 L?LWW
- Ugo Blanchet
ATP Challenger
12.08.26	Ugo Blanchet - Rei Sakamoto	1:2 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
22.06.26	Darwin Blanch - Ugo Blanchet	Canceled ✺
ATP Challenger
16.06.26	Mark Lajal - Ugo Blanchet	Canceled ✺
08.06.26	Ugo Blanchet - Oliver Tarvet	0:2 ✺
03.06.26	Ugo Blanchet - Felix Gill	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 L??LL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
19.04.24	Stefano Napolitano - Ugo Blanchet	1:2

Stefano Napolitano - Ugo Blanchet: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide