Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Tulln, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 10 September 2026, Thursday


	Juan Manuel La Serna		Lukas Neumayer

	1	2
	3.50	1.29	Watch
	3.20	1.30
	3.40	1.30	Watch
	3.53	1.33
	3.24	1.3	Watch
	3.30	1.28
	3.41	1.27	Watch
	3.35	1.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.37 ↑ (2.64)	1.29 ↓ (1.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.00

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Juan Manuel La Serna
27.8%

Lukas Neumayer
72.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35%

65%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.6%

72.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Juan Manuel La Serna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Juan Manuel La Serna's form might have worsened.

Lukas Neumayer has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lukas Neumayer's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juan Manuel La Serna than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lukas Neumayer than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Juan Manuel La Serna - Lukas Neumayer Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. La Serna will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Neumayer will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

La Serna is ranked ATP: 289. Neumayer is ranked ATP: 191.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Neumayer may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Neumayer is seen as the favorite.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Lukas Neumayer - the odds 1.42 are the expected chance of winning is 65.02%, but this team recently wins 86% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Juan Manuel La Serna
ATP Challenger
08.09.26	Juan Manuel La Serna - Filip Cristian Jianu	2:1 ✺
04.09.26	Yanaki Milev - Juan Manuel La Serna	2:1 ✺
03.09.26	Mykyta Mashtakov - Juan Manuel La Serna	0:2 ✺
01.09.26	Alexander Vasilev - Juan Manuel La Serna	0:2 ✺
26.08.26	Juan Manuel La Serna - Hynek Barton	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WLWWL
- Lukas Neumayer
ATP Challenger
08.09.26	Svyatoslav Gulin - Lukas Neumayer	0:2 ✺
ATP US Open
26.08.26	Chak Lam Coleman Wong - Lukas Neumayer	2:0 ✺
24.08.26	Lukas Neumayer - James McCabe	2:0 ✺
24.08.26	Lukas Neumayer - Oliver Crawford	Canceled ✺
ATP Challenger
14.08.26	Alex Barrena - Lukas Neumayer	Neumayer L. Retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WLW??

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