Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Launceston, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 4 March 2026, Wednesday


	Hiroki Moriya		Colin Sinclair

	1	2
			Watch
			Watch
	1.49	2.67
	1.46	2.49	Watch
	1.44	2.5
	1.48	2.47	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↓ (1.49)	2.53 ↑ (2.46)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hiroki Moriya
63.3%

Colin Sinclair
36.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.3%

37.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.1%

42.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hiroki Moriya has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Colin Sinclair has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hiroki Moriya than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hiroki Moriya that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Colin Sinclair than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Colin Sinclair could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Hiroki Moriya - Colin Sinclair Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 Sets - Sinclair (1.68) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Sinclair (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Moriya is ranked ATP: 506. Sinclair is ranked ATP: 737.

Moriya is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Sinclair has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Sinclair may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Moriya is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Colin Sinclair - the odds 2.46 are the expected chance of winning is 37.72%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hiroki Moriya
ITF Tournaments
02.03.26	Hiroki Moriya - Jamie Mackenzie	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
13.02.26	Alex Bolt - Hiroki Moriya	2:1 ✺
13.02.26	Hiroki Moriya - Dane Sweeny	2:0 ✺
11.02.26	Tai Sach - Hiroki Moriya	1:2 ✺
10.02.26	Moerani Bouzige - Hiroki Moriya	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.9 WLWWW
- Colin Sinclair
ITF Tournaments
02.03.26	Sam Ryan Ziegann - Colin Sinclair	0:2 ✺
25.02.26	Colin Sinclair - Omar Jasika	1:2 ✺
24.02.26	Colin Sinclair - Stefan Vujic	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
11.02.26	Rei Sakamoto - Colin Sinclair	2:0 ✺
10.02.26	Colin Sinclair - Matt Hulme	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WLWLW

Hiroki Moriya - Colin Sinclair: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide