The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Hiroki Moriya 30.9%
Jason Kubler 69.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
40.1%
59.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
37.5%
62.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hiroki Moriya has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hiroki Moriya's form might have worsened.
Jason Kubler has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Jason Kubler's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hiroki Moriya than the current prediction. (+6.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hiroki Moriya, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jason Kubler than the current prediction. (-6.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Jason Kubler, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Hiroki Moriya - Jason Kubler Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2
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Preview
Moriya is ranked ATP: 407.Kubler is ranked ATP: 837.
Moriya is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Recent matches Kubler is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Kubler could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Kubler will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 3 head-to-head matches Moriya won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2:5 (average 0.7:1.7).