Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Tyler (USA), hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 3 June 2024, Monday

Referee: Ducci J. (Chi)


	Hiroki Moriya		Thai-Son Kwiatkowski

	1	2
	3.4	1.3	Watch
	3.4	1.28
	3.4	1.28	Watch
	3.53	1.31
	3.53	1.32
	3.25	1.33
	3.24	1.32	Watch
	3.55	1.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.41 ↑ (2.76)	1.31 ↓ (1.41)

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hiroki Moriya
27.7%

Thai-Son Kwiatkowski
72.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.9%

66.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.2%

66.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hiroki Moriya has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hiroki Moriya's form might have worsened.

Thai-Son Kwiatkowski has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Thai-Son Kwiatkowski's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hiroki Moriya than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hiroki Moriya, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Thai-Son Kwiatkowski than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Thai-Son Kwiatkowski, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.6%	0%	71.4%

Hiroki Moriya - Thai Son Kwiatkowski Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Moriya will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Kwiatkowski will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Moriya is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Kwiatkowski has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Kwiatkowski is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hiroki Moriya
ATP Challenger
27.05.24	Alexis Galarneau - Hiroki Moriya	2:0 ✺
14.05.24	Illya Marchenko - Hiroki Moriya	2:0 ✺
06.05.24	Hiroki Moriya - Egor Gerasimov	0:2 ✺
05.05.24	Hiroki Moriya - Li Tu	Canceled ✺
30.04.24	Hiroki Moriya - Maxime Cressy	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LLL?L
- Thai-Son Kwiatkowski
ATP Challenger
28.05.24	Bernard Tomic - Thai-Son Kwiatkowski	2:1 ✺
ATP Geneva
18.05.24	Nicolas Moreno De Alboran - Thai-Son Kwiatkowski	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
15.05.24	Raphael Collignon - Thai-Son Kwiatkowski	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
22.04.24	Thai-Son Kwiatkowski - Tennys Sandgren	0:2 ✺
17.04.24	Mitchell Krueger - Thai-Son Kwiatkowski	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Hiroki Moriya - Thai-Son Kwiatkowski: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide