Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: CARY (USA) - QUALIFICATION, HARD - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 6 August 2023, Sunday


	Hoang Nam Ly		Keegan Smith

	1	2
			Watch
	2.3	1.53
	2.25	1.62
	2.25	1.57
	2.31	1.56	Watch
	2.23	1.58
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.27 ↑ (1.68)	1.57 ↓ (2.03)

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hoang Nam Ly
40.9%

Keegan Smith
59.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.7%

45.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.6%

47.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hoang Nam Ly has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hoang Nam Ly's form might have worsened.

Keegan Smith has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Keegan Smith's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hoang Nam Ly than the current prediction. (+11.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hoang Nam Ly, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Keegan Smith than the current prediction. (-11.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Keegan Smith, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Ly Nam has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Smith is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Smith could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hoang Nam Ly
ATP Challenger
31.07.23	Hoang Nam Ly - Seong Chan Hong	0:2 ✺
17.07.23	Hoang Nam Ly - Arthur Cazaux	0:2 ✺
09.07.23	Hoang Nam Ly - Ernesto Escobedo	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
13.06.23	Hoang Nam Ly - Orel Kimhi	1:2 ✺
09.06.23	Hoang Nam Ly - Hiroki Moriya	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Keegan Smith
ATP Los Cabos
31.07.23	Beibit Zhukayev - Keegan Smith	2:0 ✺
29.07.23	Keegan Smith - Patrick Kypson	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
14.07.23	Learner Tien - Keegan Smith	2:1 ✺
13.07.23	Siem Woldeab - Keegan Smith	0:2 ✺
12.07.23	Constantinos Djakouris - Keegan Smith	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 LWLWW

Hoang Nam Ly - Keegan Smith: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide