Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Barcelona, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 16 April 2025, Wednesday


	Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune		Sebastian Baez

	1	2
	1.67	2.2	Watch
	1.65	2.18	Watch
	1.66	2.18	Watch
	1.81	2.11
	1.63	2.25	Watch
	1.67	2.2	Watch
	1.7	2.17	Watch
	1.66	2.18
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↑ (1.6)	2.18 ↓ (2.35)

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune
56.5%

Sebastian Baez
43.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.5%

40.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.7%

39.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Sebastian Baez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sebastian Baez than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
30%	0%	70%

Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune - Sebastian Baez Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Rune will win (votes: 5 - 26.3%). Baez will win (votes: 14 - 73.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Baez: 53.9% – 93.5%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 22 Games - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Sebastian Baez will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Rune is ranked ATP: 13. Baez is ranked ATP: 35.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Rune could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Rune won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5:6 (average 1:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune
ATP Barcelona
14.04.25	Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune - Albert Ramos-Vinolas	2:0 ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
08.04.25	Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune - Nuno Borges	Rune H. retired ✺
ATP Miami
22.03.25	Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune - Reilly Opelka	1:2 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
16.03.25	Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune - Jack Draper	0:2 ✺
15.03.25	Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune - Daniil Medvedev	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 W?LLW
- Sebastian Baez
ATP Barcelona
15.04.25	Sebastian Baez - Damir Dzumhur	2:0 ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
08.04.25	Tomas Machac - Sebastian Baez	2:1 ✺
ATP Bucharest
06.04.25	Sebastian Baez - Flavio Cobolli	0:2 ✺
05.04.25	Sebastian Baez - Marton Fucsovics	2:0 ✺
04.04.25	Sebastian Baez - Francisco Comesana	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Roma
13.05.24	Sebastian Baez - Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune	2:1
ATP Basel
26.10.23	Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune - Sebastian Baez	2:0
ATP Buenos Aires
08.02.22	Sebastian Baez - Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune	2:0
ATP Challenger
15.03.21	Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune - Sebastian Baez	0:2
ATP Santiago
09.03.21	Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune - Sebastian Baez	2:0

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