Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Miami (USA), hard - 1/32-finals

Date: 22 March 2025, Saturday


	Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune		Reilly Opelka

	1	2
	1.4	3	Watch
	1.42	2.8	Watch
	1.42	2.9	Watch
	1.49	2.6	Watch
	1.4	2.9	Watch
	1.44	2.8	Watch
	1.42	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↑ (1.33)	2.84 ↓ (3.18)

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune
66.6%

Reilly Opelka
33.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.6%

29.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.1%

27.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

Reilly Opelka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Reilly Opelka than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Reilly Opelka, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
64.3%	0%	35.7%

Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune - Reilly Opelka Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Rune will win (votes: 9 - 64.3%). Opelka will win (votes: 5 - 35.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Rune: 39.2% – 89.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Rune is ranked ATP: 12. Opelka is ranked ATP: 114.

Rune is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Opelka is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Opelka could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Rune is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune - the odds 1.33 are the expected chance of winning is 70.59%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune
ATP Indian Wells
16.03.25	Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune - Jack Draper	0:2 ✺
15.03.25	Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune - Daniil Medvedev	2:0 ✺
13.03.25	Tallon Griekspoor - Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune	1:2 ✺
11.03.25	Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune - Stefanos Tsitsipas	2:0 ✺
09.03.25	Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune - Ugo Humbert	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 LWWWW
- Reilly Opelka
ATP Miami
20.03.25	Christopher Eubanks - Reilly Opelka	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
13.03.25	Reilly Opelka - Hugo Gaston	0:2 ✺
12.03.25	Arthur Rinderknech - Reilly Opelka	1:2 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
05.03.25	Roman Safiullin - Reilly Opelka	2:0 ✺
ATP Delray Beach
13.02.25	Reilly Opelka - Brandon Nakashima	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WLWLL

Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune - Reilly Opelka: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide