Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Indian Wells (USA), hard - Final

Date: 16 March 2025, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Indian Wells (USA) 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Australia	08:00	beIN Sports 1
Brazil	18:00	ESPN 2
Bulgaria	23:00	Max Sport 1
Czech Republic	22:00	Nova Sport 5, Premier Sport 1, Premier Sport 2
Denmark	22:00	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport X
Finland	23:00	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
France	22:00	Eurosport 1
Germany	22:00	Sky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top event
Greece	23:00	Nova Sports 6
Hungary	22:00	Match 4
Netherlands	22:00	Ziggo Sport 4, Ziggo Sport
Poland	22:00	Polsat Sport 2
Portugal	21:00	Sport TV1
Romania	23:00	Digi Sport 2, Digi Sport 3, Prima Sport 4
Switzerland	22:00	SRF 2, SRF 2
Ukraine	23:00	Setanta Sports Premium
United Kingdom	21:00	Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Sports Tennis


	Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune		Jack Draper

	1	2
	2.38	1.57	Watch
	2.25	1.62	Watch
	2.44	1.56	Watch
	2.45	1.57	Watch
	2.38	1.57	Watch
	2.5	1.59	Watch
	2.44	1.56
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.41 ↑ (2.3)	1.58 ↓ (1.63)

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune
39.6%

Jack Draper
60.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

41.4%

58.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.1%

62.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Jack Draper has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jack Draper than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
70.2%	0%	29.8%

Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune - Jack Draper Predictions

Users Predictions: 46 users predict this event. Rune will win (votes: 32 - 69.6%). Draper will win (votes: 14 - 30.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Rune: 56.3% – 82.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Rune is ranked ATP: 13. Draper is ranked ATP: 14.

Two players got a triumph in the latest matches.

Draper will have a mini benefit in this match.

Our prediction for today's Draper to win the game is with odds 1.55.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Rune won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune
ATP Indian Wells
15.03.25	Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune - Daniil Medvedev	2:0 ✺
13.03.25	Tallon Griekspoor - Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune	1:2 ✺
11.03.25	Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune - Stefanos Tsitsipas	2:0 ✺
09.03.25	Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune - Ugo Humbert	2:1 ✺
07.03.25	Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune - Corentin Moutet	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 WWWWW
- Jack Draper
ATP Indian Wells
15.03.25	Jack Draper - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	2:1 ✺
13.03.25	Ben Shelton - Jack Draper	0:2 ✺
12.03.25	Jack Draper - Taylor Harry Fritz	2:0 ✺
10.03.25	Jack Draper - Jenson Brooksby	2:0 ✺
08.03.25	Jack Draper - Joao Fonseca	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.7 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Cincinnati
17.08.24	Jack Draper - Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune	0:2

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune
ATP Basel
30.10.26	Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune - Valentin Vacherot	✺

Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune - Jack Draper