What is the expert prediction for Hubert Hurkacz vs Jan-Lennard Struff?

Our statistical model provides live predictions including win probabilities and estimated scores for Hubert Hurkacz vs Jan-Lennard Struff. Follow the link for detailed analytics.

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Hubert Hurkacz vs Jan-Lennard Struff Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Sunday, July 05, 2026)

Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Wimbledon, grass - 1/8-finals

Date: 5 July 2026, Sunday

Location: All England Club (London)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	HBO Max
Bulgaria	HBO Max
Croatia	HBO Max
Czech-republic	HBO Max
Denmark	Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2, HBO Max
Finland	Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2, HBO Max
France	Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2, HBO Max
Germany	Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2
Hungary	Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2, HBO Max
Italy	Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2
Montenegro	HBO Max
Netherlands	Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2, HBO Max
North-macedonia	HBO Max
Norway	Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2, HBO Max
Poland	Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2, HBO Max
Romania	Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2, HBO Max
Serbia	HBO Max
Slovenia	HBO Max
Spain	Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2, HBO Max
Sweden	Eurosport 2, HBO Max
Turkey	Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2
United-kingdom	TNT Eurosport 1, TNT Eurosport 2


	Hubert Hurkacz		Jan-Lennard Struff

	1	2
	1.25	4	Watch
	1.30	3.40
	1.25	3.83
	1.28	4.2
	1.29	3.73	Watch
	1.27	4
	1.29	4.12	Watch
	1.27	3.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.28 ↓ (1.5)	3.9 ↑ (2.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 41.50

The best margin for this event is 1.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hubert Hurkacz
75.4%

Jan-Lennard Struff
24.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.4%

34.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.1%

42.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hubert Hurkacz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hubert Hurkacz's performance.

Jan-Lennard Struff has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Jan-Lennard Struff might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hubert Hurkacz than the current prediction. (-18.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hubert Hurkacz that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jan-Lennard Struff than the current prediction. (+18.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jan-Lennard Struff could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
69.6%	0%	30.4%

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Predictions

Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Hurkacz will win (votes: 15 - 68.2%). Struff will win (votes: 7 - 31.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hurkacz: 48.7% – 87.7%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Hurkacz (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 Sets - Hurkacz (1.63) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3.5 Sets - over (1.49) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Hurkacz (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0

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Preview

Hurkacz is ranked ATP: 96. Struff is ranked ATP: 74.

Currently, both players are in excellent shape.

Hurkacz may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Hurkacz is the team to beat.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Hurkacz won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:6. (average 1.3:1.5).

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Last Results with these Odds

Hubert Hurkacz - the odds 1.5 are the expected chance of winning is 65.44%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hubert Hurkacz
ATP Wimbledon
03.07.26	Hubert Hurkacz - Tommy Paul	3:1 ✺
01.07.26	Hubert Hurkacz - Sebastian Ofner	3:0 ✺
29.06.26	Casper Ruud - Hubert Hurkacz	0:3 ✺
Exhibition Boodles Challenge Men
25.06.26	Jakub Mensik - Hubert Hurkacz	2:1 ✺
24.06.26	Hubert Hurkacz - Sebastian Baez	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WWWLW
- Jan-Lennard Struff
ATP Wimbledon
03.07.26	Jan-Lennard Struff - Daniil Medvedev	3:0 ✺
02.07.26	Brandon Nakashima - Jan-Lennard Struff	2:3 ✺
29.06.26	Jan-Lennard Struff - Sebastian Baez	3:2 ✺
ATP Mallorca
23.06.26	Jan-Lennard Struff - Nuno Borges	0:2 ✺
22.06.26	Jan-Lennard Struff - Martin Landaluce	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.1 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Dubai
26.02.24	Hubert Hurkacz - Jan-Lennard Struff	2:1
ATP Basel
25.10.23	Jan-Lennard Struff - Hubert Hurkacz	0:2
ATP Stuttgart
17.06.23	Jan-Lennard Struff - Hubert Hurkacz	2:1
Davis Cup World Group
18.09.16	Jan-Lennard Struff - Hubert Hurkacz	3:0

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Hubert Hurkacz - Jan-Lennard Struff: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide