Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: WIMBLEDON (UNITED KINGDOM), GRASS - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 7 July 2023, Friday

Location: All England Club (London)


	Lorenzo Musetti		Hubert Hurkacz

	1	2
	2.3	1.62	Watch
	2.4	1.55
	2.35	1.6
	2.38	1.61
	2.56	1.58
	2.38	1.57
	2.38	1.58	Watch
	2.42	1.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.4 ↑ (2.31)	1.59 ↓ (1.63)

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lorenzo Musetti
39.9%

Hubert Hurkacz
60.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.3%

58.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.2%

61.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lorenzo Musetti has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Hubert Hurkacz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lorenzo Musetti than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hubert Hurkacz than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20.4%	0%	79.6%

Lorenzo Musetti - Hubert Hurkacz Predictions

Users Predictions: Hubert Hurkacz will win (43 of 54 users predict this - 79.63%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.89% – 90.37%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:3

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Preview

Recent matches Musetti is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Hurkacz is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Hurkacz could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Hurkacz will have a mini benefit in this match.

Our prediction for today's Hurkacz to win the game is with odds 1.59.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Musetti won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lorenzo Musetti
ATP Wimbledon
06.07.23	Lorenzo Musetti - Jaume Munar	3:0 ✺
03.07.23	Lorenzo Musetti - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio	3:0 ✺
Exhibition Boodles Challenge Men
30.06.23	Andrey Rublev - Lorenzo Musetti	2:0 ✺
29.06.23	Lorenzo Musetti - Roberto Bautista-Agut	2:0 ✺
ATP London
23.06.23	Lorenzo Musetti - Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WWLWL
- Hubert Hurkacz
ATP Wimbledon
06.07.23	Jan Choinski - Hubert Hurkacz	0:3 ✺
03.07.23	Albert Ramos-Vinolas - Hubert Hurkacz	0:3 ✺
Exhibition Boodles Challenge Men
30.06.23	Hubert Hurkacz - Alex Molcan	2:0 ✺
ATP Halle
22.06.23	Tallon Griekspoor - Hubert Hurkacz	2:1 ✺
20.06.23	Christopher Eubanks - Hubert Hurkacz	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Rotterdam
09.02.22	Hubert Hurkacz - Lorenzo Musetti	1:2
ATP Wimbledon
29.06.21	Hubert Hurkacz - Lorenzo Musetti	3:0
ATP Roma
10.05.21	Hubert Hurkacz - Lorenzo Musetti	Hurkacz H. retired

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