Match Info

Date: 11 August 2022, Thursday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Croatia	SportKlub
Denmark	TV2 Sport
Finland	Discovery+, Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2
France	Eurosport 1
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top event
Portugal	Sport TV
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub
Sweden	Discovery+, Eurosport 1
Ukraine	Setanta Sports


	Jannik Sinner		Pablo Carreno-Busta

	1	2
	1.5	2.62	Watch
	1.5	2.55
	1.5	2.6
	1.49	2.5
	1.57	2.57
	1.5	2.6	Watch
	1.55	2.52	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↑ (1.4)	2.57 ↓ (2.91)

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jannik Sinner
62.9%

Pablo Carreno-Busta
37.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.6%

32.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.1%

28.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jannik Sinner has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

Pablo Carreno-Busta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jannik Sinner than the current prediction. (+8.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Jannik Sinner, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pablo Carreno-Busta than the current prediction. (-8.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Pablo Carreno-Busta, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
59.6%	0%	40.4%

Jannik Sinner - Pablo Carreno Busta Predictions

Users Predictions: 57 users predict this event. Sinner will win (votes: 34 - 59.6%). Carreno Busta will win (votes: 23 - 40.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sinner: 46.9% – 72.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Sinner in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recent matches Carreno Busta is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Sinner could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Sinner will have a small advantage in this match.

Our prediction for today's Sinner to win the game is with odds 1.44.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Sinner won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jannik Sinner
ATP Montreal
10.08.22	Jannik Sinner - Adrian Mannarino	2:1 ✺
ATP Umag
31.07.22	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Jannik Sinner	1:2 ✺
30.07.22	Franco Agamenone - Jannik Sinner	0:2 ✺
29.07.22	Roberto Carballes Baena - Jannik Sinner	0:2 ✺
27.07.22	Jaume Munar - Jannik Sinner	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WWWWW
- Pablo Carreno-Busta
ATP Montreal
10.08.22	Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune - Pablo Carreno-Busta	0:2 ✺
09.08.22	Pablo Carreno-Busta - Matteo Berrettini	2:0 ✺
ATP Hamburg
20.07.22	Pablo Carreno-Busta - Alex Molcan	1:2 ✺
19.07.22	Pablo Carreno-Busta - Luca Nardi	2:0 ✺
ATP Bastad
16.07.22	Francisco Cerundolo - Pablo Carreno-Busta	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Miami
27.03.22	Pablo Carreno-Busta - Jannik Sinner	1:2
ATP Rotterdam
14.02.20	Pablo Carreno-Busta - Jannik Sinner	2:1

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