Match Info

Date: 12 August 2022, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Croatia	SportKlub
Czech-republic	Eurosport 2
Denmark	TV2 Sport
Finland	Discovery+, Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2
France	Eurosport 1
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis
Portugal	Sport TV
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub
Sweden	Discovery+, Eurosport 1
Ukraine	Setanta Sports


	Pablo Carreno-Busta		Jack Draper

	1	2
	1.4	3	Watch
	1.4	3
	1.4	3
	1.38	2.9
	1.43	3.1
	1.4	2.9	Watch
	1.36	3.24	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↓ (1.7)	3.02 ↑ (2.17)

The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pablo Carreno-Busta
68.4%

Jack Draper
31.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.1%

43.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.6%

41.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pablo Carreno-Busta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Pablo Carreno-Busta's performance.

Jack Draper has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Jack Draper might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pablo Carreno-Busta than the current prediction. (-9.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Pablo Carreno-Busta that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jack Draper than the current prediction. (+9.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jack Draper could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
73.4%	0%	26.6%

Pablo Carreno Busta - Jack Draper Predictions

Users Predictions: 94 users predict this event. Carreno Busta will win (votes: 69 - 73.4%). Draper will win (votes: 25 - 26.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Carreno Busta: 64.5% – 82.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Instantly two players are in a excellent shape.

Carreno Busta could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Carreno Busta is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pablo Carreno-Busta
ATP Montreal
11.08.22	Jannik Sinner - Pablo Carreno-Busta	0:2 ✺
10.08.22	Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune - Pablo Carreno-Busta	0:2 ✺
09.08.22	Pablo Carreno-Busta - Matteo Berrettini	2:0 ✺
ATP Hamburg
20.07.22	Pablo Carreno-Busta - Alex Molcan	1:2 ✺
19.07.22	Pablo Carreno-Busta - Luca Nardi	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.5 WWWLW
- Jack Draper
ATP Montreal
11.08.22	Gael Monfils - Jack Draper	Monfils G. retired ✺
10.08.22	Jack Draper - Stefanos Tsitsipas	2:0 ✺
09.08.22	Hugo Gaston - Jack Draper	0:2 ✺
07.08.22	Quentin Halys - Jack Draper	Halys Q. retired ✺
06.08.22	Roberto Marcora - Jack Draper	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 ?WW?W

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