Match Info

Date: 9 August 2022, Tuesday


	Pablo Carreno-Busta		Matteo Berrettini

	1	2
	3	1.4	Watch
	2.9	1.4
	3	1.4
	2.9	1.38
	3.13	1.42
	2.9	1.4	Watch
	3.52	1.3	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.05 ↓ (3.38)	1.39 ↑ (1.32)

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pablo Carreno-Busta
31.2%

Matteo Berrettini
68.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.1%

71.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.8%

73.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pablo Carreno-Busta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Matteo Berrettini has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pablo Carreno-Busta than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matteo Berrettini than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
13.6%	0%	86.4%

Pablo Carreno Busta - Matteo Berrettini Predictions

Users Predictions: Matteo Berrettini will win (19 of 22 users predict this - 86.36%).
Confidence interval (95%): 72.02% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Recent matches Carreno Busta is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Berrettini is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Berrettini is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Berrettini to win the game is with odds 1.4.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Carreno Busta won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pablo Carreno-Busta
ATP Hamburg
20.07.22	Pablo Carreno-Busta - Alex Molcan	1:2 ✺
19.07.22	Pablo Carreno-Busta - Luca Nardi	2:0 ✺
ATP Bastad
16.07.22	Francisco Cerundolo - Pablo Carreno-Busta	2:0 ✺
15.07.22	Diego Sebastian Schwartzman - Pablo Carreno-Busta	0:2 ✺
13.07.22	Albert Ramos-Vinolas - Pablo Carreno-Busta	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LWLWW
- Matteo Berrettini
ATP Gstaad
24.07.22	Casper Ruud - Matteo Berrettini	2:1 ✺
23.07.22	Dominic Thiem - Matteo Berrettini	0:2 ✺
22.07.22	Pedro Martinez Portero - Matteo Berrettini	1:2 ✺
21.07.22	Richard Gasquet - Matteo Berrettini	0:2 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
28.06.22	Matteo Berrettini - Christian Garin	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LWWW?

Latest Head to Head

ATP Australian Open
23.01.22	Pablo Carreno-Busta - Matteo Berrettini	0:3

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