Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Australian Open, hard - 1/64-finals

Date: 20 January 2026, Tuesday

Location: Melbourne Park (Melbourne)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	ESPN
Belgium	HBO Max, HBO Max
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	HBO Max
Brazil	ESPN
Bulgaria	HBO Max
Canada	RDS App
Colombia	ESPN
Croatia	HBO Max
Czech-republic	HBO Max
Denmark	HBO Max
Finland	HBO Max
France	HBO Max
Hungary	HBO Max
Mexico	ESPN
Moldova	HBO Max
Montenegro	HBO Max
Netherlands	HBO Max
North-macedonia	HBO Max
Norway	HBO Max
Peru	ESPN
Poland	HBO Max
Romania	HBO Max
Serbia	HBO Max
Slovenia	HBO Max
Spain	HBO Max
Sweden	HBO Max
United-kingdom	Discovery+ App, Discovery+
Usa	ESPN USA
Venezuela	ESPN


	Hubert Hurkacz		Zizou Bergs

	1	2
	1.4	3	Watch
	1.38	3.05	Watch
	1.33	3.31	Watch
	1.4	2.9
	1.37	3.15	Watch
	1.37	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↓ (1.45)	3.09 ↑ (2.98)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hubert Hurkacz
69.2%

Zizou Bergs
30.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.3%

32.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.4%

37.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hubert Hurkacz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Zizou Bergs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hubert Hurkacz than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hubert Hurkacz that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zizou Bergs than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Zizou Bergs could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
93.7%	0%	6.2%

Hubert Hurkacz - Zizou Bergs Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +4.5 Games - Bergs (1.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1.5 Sets - Bergs (4.39) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Hubert Hurkacz will win (15 of 16 users predict this - 93.75%).
Confidence interval (95%): 81.89% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Hubert Hurkacz will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Hurkacz (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Bergs (votes: 2 - 22.2%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0

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Preview

Hurkacz is ranked ATP: 83. Bergs is ranked ATP: 42.

Hurkacz is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Bergs has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Hurkacz may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Hurkacz is a strong favorite.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Last Results with these Odds

Hubert Hurkacz - the odds 1.45 are the expected chance of winning is 67.27%, but this team recently wins 60% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hubert Hurkacz
ATP United Cup
11.01.26	Hubert Hurkacz - Stanislas Wawrinka	2:1 ✺
10.01.26	Taylor Harry Fritz - Hubert Hurkacz	0:2 ✺
09.01.26	Alex De Minaur - Hubert Hurkacz	2:1 ✺
06.01.26	Hubert Hurkacz - Tallon Griekspoor	2:0 ✺
05.01.26	Alexander Zverev - Hubert Hurkacz	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 WWLWW
- Zizou Bergs
ATP United Cup
09.01.26	Stanislas Wawrinka - Zizou Bergs	1:2 ✺
08.01.26	Zizou Bergs - Jakub Mensik	2:0 ✺
05.01.26	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Zizou Bergs	0:2 ✺
02.01.26	Zizou Bergs - Zhizhen Zhang	1:2 ✺
Davis Cup World Group
21.11.25	Flavio Cobolli - Zizou Bergs	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 WWWLL

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