Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Genova, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 10 September 2026, Thursday


	Hugo Dellien		Matej Dodig

	1	2
	1.67	2.10	Watch
	1.62	2.15
	1.72	2.08
	1.71	2.23
	1.64	2.12	Watch
	1.69	2.20
	1.68	2.03	Watch
	1.70	2.00
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↓ (1.76)	2.11 ↑ (2.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.50

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hugo Dellien
55.7%

Matej Dodig
44.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.6%

46.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.9%

43.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hugo Dellien has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Matej Dodig has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hugo Dellien than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matej Dodig than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Hugo Dellien - Matej Dodig Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Dellien (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Hugo Dellien will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Dellien is ranked ATP: 140. Dodig is ranked ATP: 254.

Currently, both players are in excellent shape.

Dellien may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Dellien might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Dellien won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Matej Dodig - the odds 2.03 are the expected chance of winning is 46.44%, but this team recently wins 27% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hugo Dellien
ATP Challenger
08.09.26	Hugo Dellien - Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves	2:0 ✺
06.09.26	Facundo Mena - Hugo Dellien	2:0 ✺
05.09.26	Pedro Vives Marcos - Hugo Dellien	0:2 ✺
04.09.26	Miguel Damas - Hugo Dellien	0:2 ✺
03.09.26	Gilles Arnaud Bailly - Hugo Dellien	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WLWWW
- Matej Dodig
ATP Challenger
08.09.26	Franco Agamenone - Matej Dodig	Agamenone F. Retired ✺
06.09.26	Matej Dodig - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio	2:0 ✺
05.09.26	Johan Nikles - Matej Dodig	0:2 ✺
04.09.26	Max Schoenhaus - Matej Dodig	1:2 ✺
02.09.26	Matej Dodig - Henry Bernet	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 ?WWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
12.07.26	Matej Dodig - Hugo Dellien	1:2
ATP Roland Garros
20.05.26	Matej Dodig - Hugo Dellien	0:2

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