Match Info

Date: 28 April 2022, Thursday


	Hugo Gaston		Alejandro Tabilo

	1	2
	2.37	1.57	Watch
	2.3	1.6
	2.38	1.58
	2.22	1.61
	2.25	1.72
	2.38	1.57	Watch
	2.36	1.62	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.32 ↑ (2.06)	1.61 ↓ (1.64)

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hugo Gaston
40.9%

Alejandro Tabilo
59.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.3%

55.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47%

53%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hugo Gaston has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Alejandro Tabilo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hugo Gaston than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hugo Gaston, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alejandro Tabilo than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alejandro Tabilo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.1%	0%	42.9%

Hugo Gaston - Alejandro Tabilo Predictions

Users Predictions: 35 users predict this event. Gaston will win (votes: 20 - 57.1%). Tabilo will win (votes: 15 - 42.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Gaston: 40.7% – 73.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Both players are now playing unstable.

Tabilo could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Tabilo will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hugo Gaston
ATP Munich
26.04.22	Hugo Gaston - Marcos Giron	2:1 ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
09.04.22	Hugo Gaston - Flavio Cobolli	0:2 ✺
ATP Miami
27.03.22	Hugo Gaston - Cameron Norrie	0:2 ✺
25.03.22	John Isner - Hugo Gaston	0:2 ✺
23.03.22	Emilio Nava - Hugo Gaston	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WLLWW
- Alejandro Tabilo
ATP Munich
27.04.22	Alejandro Tabilo - Christian Garin	2:0 ✺
24.04.22	Alejandro Tabilo - Jiri Lehecka	0:2 ✺
23.04.22	Alejandro Tabilo - Geoffrey Blancaneaux	2:1 ✺
ATP Belgrade
19.04.22	Alejandro Tabilo - Oscar Otte	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
16.04.22	Alejandro Tabilo - Daniel Elahi Galan	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 WLWLL

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