Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Bastad, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 15 July 2025, Tuesday


	Hugo Gaston		Chun Hsin Tseng

	1	2
	2.2	1.67	Watch
	2.1	1.7	Watch
	2.2	1.65	Watch
	2.17	1.76
			Watch
	2.2	1.67	Watch
	2.17	1.7	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.17 ↑ (1.91)	1.69 ↓ (1.91)

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hugo Gaston
43.8%

Chun Hsin Tseng
56.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.9%

47.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hugo Gaston has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hugo Gaston's form might have worsened.

Chun Hsin Tseng has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Chun Hsin Tseng's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hugo Gaston than the current prediction. (+9.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hugo Gaston, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chun Hsin Tseng than the current prediction. (-9.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Chun Hsin Tseng, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	0%	85.7%

Hugo Gaston - Chun Hsin Tseng Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Gaston (votes: 2 - 40%). Tseng (votes: 3 - 60%).

Users Predictions: Chun Hsin Tseng will win (11 of 13 users predict this - 84.62%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.01% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Gaston is ranked ATP: 86. Tseng is ranked ATP: 96.

Both players are struggling and far from their best.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Hugo Gaston - the odds 1.91 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 30% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hugo Gaston
ATP Challenger
08.07.25	Radu Albot - Hugo Gaston	2:1 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
01.07.25	Hugo Gaston - Jakub Mensik	1:3 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
28.05.25	Ben Shelton - Hugo Gaston	Shelton B. walkover ✺
26.05.25	Hugo Gaston - Ugo Blanchet	3:2 ✺
ATP Geneva
19.05.25	Matteo Arnaldi - Hugo Gaston	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LL?WL
- Chun Hsin Tseng
ATP Challenger
09.07.25	Chun Hsin Tseng - Sumit Nagal	1:2 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
01.07.25	Chun Hsin Tseng - Aleksandar Vukic	1:3 ✺
ATP Eastbourne
23.06.25	Chun Hsin Tseng - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	0:2 ✺
22.06.25	Mattia Bellucci - Chun Hsin Tseng	2:0 ✺
21.06.25	Geoffrey Blancaneaux - Chun Hsin Tseng	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLLLW

Hugo Gaston - Chun Hsin Tseng: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide