Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Brisbane - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 3 January 2026, Saturday


	Matteo Arnaldi		Hugo Gaston

	1	2
			Watch
	1.51	2.4	Watch
	1.52	2.46	Watch
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.5	2.42	Watch
	1.45	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↑ (1.44)	2.43 ↓ (2.67)

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Matteo Arnaldi
61.6%

Hugo Gaston
38.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65%

35%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Matteo Arnaldi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Hugo Gaston has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Matteo Arnaldi - Hugo Gaston Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Arnaldi is ranked ATP: 61. Gaston is ranked ATP: 96.

Arnaldi will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Arnaldi won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Matteo Arnaldi - the odds 1.44 are the expected chance of winning is 64.96%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Matteo Arnaldi
ATP Paris
25.10.25	Jacob Fearnley - Matteo Arnaldi	2:0 ✺
ATP Vienna
23.10.25	Matteo Arnaldi - Alexander Zverev	0:2 ✺
20.10.25	Aleksandar Kovacevic - Matteo Arnaldi	0:2 ✺
19.10.25	Tristan Schoolkate - Matteo Arnaldi	0:2 ✺
18.10.25	Jesper De Jong - Matteo Arnaldi	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LLWWW
- Hugo Gaston
ATP Metz
05.11.25	Hugo Gaston - Daniel Altmaier	Gaston H. retired ✺
02.11.25	Terence Atmane - Hugo Gaston	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
26.10.25	Eliot Spizzirri - Hugo Gaston	1:2 ✺
25.10.25	Hugo Gaston - Alexis Galarneau	2:1 ✺
24.10.25	Arthur Fery - Hugo Gaston	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 ?WWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Geneva
19.05.25	Matteo Arnaldi - Hugo Gaston	2:1
ATP Challenger
11.10.22	Hugo Gaston - Matteo Arnaldi	Canceled

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