Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Bastad, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 14 July 2026, Tuesday


	Daniel Altmaier		Hugo Gaston

	1	2
	1.57	2.38	Watch
	1.55	2.40
	1.47	2.45	Watch
	1.57	2.56
	1.5	2.51	Watch
	1.55	2.5	Watch
	1.59	2.4	Watch
	1.5	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↓ (1.67)	2.46 ↑ (2.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Daniel Altmaier
61.5%

Hugo Gaston
38.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.8%

43.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.1%

39.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Daniel Altmaier has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

Hugo Gaston has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Daniel Altmaier than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hugo Gaston than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Daniel Altmaier - Hugo Gaston Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Altmaier (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 Sets - Altmaier (2.40) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Daniel Altmaier will win (15 of 15 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Altmaier (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Altmaier is ranked ATP: 61. Gaston is ranked ATP: 118.

In recent matches, Altmaier has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Gaston is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Altmaier may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Altmaier could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Altmaier won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:2. (average 0.3:0.7).

Last Results with these Odds

Daniel Altmaier - the odds 1.67 are the expected chance of winning is 56.85%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Daniel Altmaier
ATP Wimbledon
01.07.26	Alex Molcan - Daniel Altmaier	3:1 ✺
ATP Eastbourne
24.06.26	Daniel Altmaier - Zizou Bergs	Altmaier D. Retired ✺
23.06.26	Daniel Altmaier - Aleksandar Kovacevic	2:0 ✺
ATP Halle
20.06.26	Daniel Altmaier - Francis Tiafoe	0:2 ✺
19.06.26	Daniel Altmaier - Daniil Medvedev	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 L?WLW
- Hugo Gaston
ATP Challenger
12.07.26	Jan Choinski - Hugo Gaston	2:1 ✺
11.07.26	Facundo Diaz Acosta - Hugo Gaston	1:2 ✺
10.07.26	Hugo Gaston - Marvin Moeller	2:0 ✺
09.07.26	Hugo Gaston - Mika Petkovic	2:1 ✺
07.07.26	Hugo Gaston - Andrey Chepelev	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Metz
05.11.25	Hugo Gaston - Daniel Altmaier	Gaston H. retired
ATP Kitzbuhel
23.07.24	Hugo Gaston - Daniel Altmaier	2:1
ATP Metz
05.11.23	Daniel Altmaier - Hugo Gaston	Canceled

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