Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Braunschweig, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 10 July 2026, Friday


	Hugo Gaston		Marvin Moeller

	1	2
	1.36	3.00	Watch
	1.36	2.90
	1.37	3.00	Watch
	1.42	3.08
	1.35	2.92	Watch
	1.39	3.00	Watch
	1.34	2.97	Watch
	1.35	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.37 ↑ (1.34)	2.98 ↓ (3.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hugo Gaston
68.5%

Marvin Moeller
31.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.2%

30.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.2%

33.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hugo Gaston has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Marvin Moeller has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hugo Gaston than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marvin Moeller than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Hugo Gaston - Marvin Moeller Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Gaston is ranked ATP: 118. Moeller is ranked ATP: 372.

Gaston is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Moeller is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Moeller may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Gaston is the team to beat.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hugo Gaston
ATP Challenger
09.07.26	Hugo Gaston - Mika Petkovic	2:1 ✺
07.07.26	Hugo Gaston - Andrey Chepelev	2:0 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
29.06.26	Hugo Gaston - Stefanos Tsitsipas	0:3 ✺
25.06.26	Hugo Gaston - Moez Echargui	3:1 ✺
24.06.26	Hugo Gaston - Federico Cina	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WWLWW
- Marvin Moeller
ATP Challenger
09.07.26	Marvin Moeller - Daniel Vallejo	Vallejo D. Retired ✺
07.07.26	Marvin Moeller - Benito Sanchez Martinez	2:1 ✺
05.07.26	Kilian Feldbausch - Marvin Moeller	0:2 ✺
04.07.26	Calvin Hemery - Marvin Moeller	0:2 ✺
03.07.26	Marvin Moeller - Marat Sharipov	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.8 ?WWWW

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