Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Wimbledon - Qualification, grass - Final

Date: 25 June 2026, Thursday

Location: Community Sports Centre Roehampton (London)


	Hugo Gaston		Moez Echargui

	1	2
	1.3	3.4	Watch
	1.33	3.10
	1.31	3.33
	1.32	3.58
	1.31	3.32	Watch
	1.29	3.5
	1.36	3.22	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.32 ↓ (1.43)	3.35 ↑ (2.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 37.50

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hugo Gaston
71.8%

Moez Echargui
28.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.5%

34.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.4%

35.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hugo Gaston has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hugo Gaston's performance.

Moez Echargui has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Moez Echargui might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hugo Gaston than the current prediction. (-7.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hugo Gaston that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Moez Echargui than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Moez Echargui could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Hugo Gaston - Moez Echargui Predictions

Users Predictions: Hugo Gaston will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0

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Preview

Gaston is ranked ATP: 117. Echargui is ranked ATP: 155.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, Gaston is the team to beat.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Hugo Gaston - the odds 1.43 are the expected chance of winning is 65.46%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hugo Gaston
ATP Wimbledon
24.06.26	Hugo Gaston - Federico Cina	2:0 ✺
22.06.26	Hugo Gaston - Lautaro Midon	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
16.06.26	Felix Gill - Hugo Gaston	2:1 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
28.05.26	Francisco Cerundolo - Hugo Gaston	3:1 ✺
25.05.26	Hugo Gaston - Gael Monfils	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WWLLW
- Moez Echargui
ATP Wimbledon
24.06.26	Keegan Smith - Moez Echargui	1:2 ✺
22.06.26	Edas Butvilas - Moez Echargui	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
15.06.26	Jaime Faria - Moez Echargui	2:0 ✺
02.06.26	Moez Echargui - Chun Hsin Tseng	1:2 ✺
26.05.26	Remy Bertola - Moez Echargui	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WWLLL

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