Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Troyes, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 3 July 2026, Friday


	Marvin Moeller		Marat Sharipov

	1	2
	1.98	1.75
	1.9	1.81
	2.06	1.85
	1.97	1.74	Watch
	2.01	1.82
	1.95	1.74	Watch
	2.12	1.64
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↑ (1.84)	1.76 ↓ (1.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marvin Moeller
46.9%

Marat Sharipov
53.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.6%

55.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marvin Moeller has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Marat Sharipov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marvin Moeller than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marat Sharipov than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	0%	37.5%

Marvin Moeller - Marat Sharipov Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Moeller will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Sharipov will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Moeller: 29% – 96%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Moeller is ranked ATP: 372. Sharipov is ranked ATP: 381.

Now, both players are in good form.

Sharipov may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Sharipov will hold a modest advantage in this match.

We predict that Sharipov will win today's game, with odds of 1.56.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Moeller won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Marvin Moeller - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 35% of matches with these odds.

Marat Sharipov - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marvin Moeller
ATP Challenger
01.07.26	Mickael Kaouk - Marvin Moeller	0:2 ✺
30.06.26	Marvin Moeller - Fryderyk Lechno-Wasiutynski	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
27.06.26	Marvin Moeller - Dylan Dietrich	0:2 ✺
26.06.26	Marvin Moeller - Tom Zeuch	2:1 ✺
25.06.26	Marvin Moeller - David Tixhon	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WWLWW
- Marat Sharipov
ATP Challenger
01.07.26	Marat Sharipov - Dominic Stephan Stricker	Stricker D. Retired ✺
29.06.26	Cosme Rolland de Ravel - Marat Sharipov	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
13.06.26	Andrey Chepelev - Marat Sharipov	2:1 ✺
13.06.26	Marat Sharipov - Kirill Kivattsev	2:1 ✺
12.06.26	Marat Sharipov - Drazen Petrovic	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 ?WLWW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
28.04.23	Marvin Moeller - Marat Sharipov	0:2

Marvin Moeller - Marat Sharipov: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide