Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Istanbul, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 4 September 2025, Thursday


	Hugo Grenier		Alastair Gray

	1	2
	1.4	2.75	Watch
	1.4	2.75	Watch
	1.43	2.6	Watch
	1.51	2.62
	1.58	2.28	Watch
			Watch
	1.44	2.66	Watch
	1.48	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↓ (1.51)	2.59 ↑ (2.4)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hugo Grenier
63.9%

Alastair Gray
36.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.5%

38.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.1%

41.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hugo Grenier has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Alastair Gray has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hugo Grenier than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hugo Grenier that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alastair Gray than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alastair Gray could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Hugo Grenier - Alastair Gray Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Grenier will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Gray will win (votes: 1 - 20%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Grenier (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Grenier is ranked ATP: 188. Gray is ranked ATP: 335.

In recent matches, Grenier has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Gray is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Grenier may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Grenier will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Grenier won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hugo Grenier
ATP Challenger
02.09.25	Hugo Grenier - Juan Alejandro Hernandez	2:0 ✺
ATP US Open
22.08.25	Federico Agustin Gomez - Hugo Grenier	2:1 ✺
21.08.25	Hugo Grenier - Martin Landaluce	2:0 ✺
18.08.25	Hugo Grenier - Omar Jasika	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
05.08.25	Maks Kasnikowski - Hugo Grenier	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WLWWL
- Alastair Gray
ATP Challenger
02.09.25	Marc-Andrea Huesler - Alastair Gray	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
03.08.25	Alastair Gray - Michael Agwi	2:1 ✺
02.08.25	Alastair Gray - James Story	2:0 ✺
01.08.25	Alastair Gray - Oscar Weightman	2:0 ✺
31.07.25	Alastair Gray - Conor Gannon	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
18.07.22	Alastair Gray - Hugo Grenier	0:2

Hugo Grenier - Alastair Gray: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide