Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Istanbul, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 5 September 2025, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Istanbul 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Hugo Grenier		Stefanos Sakellaridis

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Hugo Grenier
59.8%

Stefanos Sakellaridis
40.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

59.7%

40.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61%

39%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hugo Grenier has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Stefanos Sakellaridis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hugo Grenier than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stefanos Sakellaridis than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

1	X	2
88.2%	0%	11.8%

Users Predictions: Hugo Grenier will win (14 of 15 users predict this - 93.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 80.7% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Hugo Grenier will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Grenier is ranked ATP: 188. Sakellaridis is ranked ATP: 315.

Right now, both players are showing solid form.

Sakellaridis may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Grenier will hold a modest advantage in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hugo Grenier
ATP Challenger
04.09.25	Hugo Grenier - Alastair Gray	2:1 ✺
02.09.25	Hugo Grenier - Juan Alejandro Hernandez	2:0 ✺
ATP US Open
22.08.25	Federico Agustin Gomez - Hugo Grenier	2:1 ✺
21.08.25	Hugo Grenier - Martin Landaluce	2:0 ✺
18.08.25	Hugo Grenier - Omar Jasika	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WWLWW
- Stefanos Sakellaridis
ATP Challenger
04.09.25	Stefanos Sakellaridis - Otto Virtanen	Virtanen O. retired ✺
01.09.25	Stefanos Sakellaridis - Christian Langmo	2:1 ✺
21.08.25	Stefanos Sakellaridis - Rafael Jodar	0:2 ✺
20.08.25	Stefanos Sakellaridis - Maximus Jones	2:1 ✺
19.08.25	Stefanos Sakellaridis - Massimo Giunta	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 ?WLWW

Hugo Grenier - Stefanos Sakellaridis