Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Olbia (Italy), hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 15 October 2024, Tuesday


	Hynek Barton		Dennis Novak

	1	2
	2	1.73	Watch
	1.9	1.8
	1.97	1.75	Watch
	2	1.84
	1.95	1.8	Watch
	2	1.73	Watch
	2	1.74	Watch
	1.97	1.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↑ (1.9)	1.77 ↓ (1.8)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hynek Barton
47.2%

Dennis Novak
52.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.6%

51.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.3%

50.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hynek Barton has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Dennis Novak has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hynek Barton than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dennis Novak than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Hynek Barton - Dennis Novak Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Barton is ranked ATP: 423. Novak is ranked ATP: 324.

Now both players are in good shape.

Novak could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Our prediction for today's Novak to win the game is with odds 1.77.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Dennis Novak - the odds 1.8 are the expected chance of winning is 51.35%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hynek Barton
ATP Challenger
14.10.24	Hynek Barton - Alejo Sanchez Quilez	2:0 ✺
13.10.24	Hynek Barton - Matteo Vavassori	2:0 ✺
02.10.24	Carlos Taberner - Hynek Barton	2:0 ✺
30.09.24	Clement Tabur - Hynek Barton	0:2 ✺
29.09.24	Hynek Barton - Dimitar Kuzmanov	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WWLWW
- Dennis Novak
ATP Challenger
11.10.24	Jaime Faria - Dennis Novak	2:0 ✺
10.10.24	Dennis Novak - Christian Garin	2:0 ✺
08.10.24	Dennis Novak - Matej Dodig	2:0 ✺
07.10.24	Dennis Novak - Miguel Damas	2:0 ✺
06.10.24	Dennis Novak - Kilian Feldbausch	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 LWWWW

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