Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Valencia (Spain), clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 11 October 2024, Friday


	Jaime Faria		Dennis Novak

	1	2
	2.25	1.57	Watch
	2.2	1.6
	2.23	1.58	Watch
	2.29	1.67
	2.3	1.62	Watch
	2.25	1.57	Watch
	2.29	1.58	Watch
	2.23	1.58
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.26 ↑ (1.84)	1.6 ↓ (1.84)

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Jaime Faria
41.4%

Dennis Novak
58.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.9%

50.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.1%

48.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jaime Faria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Jaime Faria's form might have worsened.

Dennis Novak has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Dennis Novak's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jaime Faria than the current prediction. (+9.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Jaime Faria, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dennis Novak than the current prediction. (-9.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Dennis Novak, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	0%	60%

Jaime Faria - Dennis Novak Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Faria will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Novak will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Novak: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

#ad

Preview

Faria is ranked ATP: 168. Novak is ranked ATP: 298.

Recent matches Faria is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Novak is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Faria could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Novak will have a small advantage in this match.

Our prediction for today's Novak to win the game is with odds 1.59.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Faria won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:1

Last Results with these Odds

Dennis Novak - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 50.07%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jaime Faria
ATP Challenger
10.10.24	Elmer Moeller - Jaime Faria	1:2 ✺
08.10.24	Ivan Gakhov - Jaime Faria	1:2 ✺
02.10.24	Albert Ramos-Vinolas - Jaime Faria	2:0 ✺
26.09.24	Oriol Roca Batalla - Jaime Faria	2:0 ✺
Davis Cup World Group I
14.09.24	Casper Ruud - Jaime Faria	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WWLLL
- Dennis Novak
ATP Challenger
10.10.24	Dennis Novak - Christian Garin	2:0 ✺
08.10.24	Dennis Novak - Matej Dodig	2:0 ✺
07.10.24	Dennis Novak - Miguel Damas	2:0 ✺
06.10.24	Dennis Novak - Kilian Feldbausch	2:1 ✺
24.09.24	Dennis Novak - Luka Pavlovic	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
16.05.24	Dennis Novak - Jaime Faria	1:2

Jaime Faria - Dennis Novak: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide