Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Bastad, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 16 July 2025, Wednesday


	Sebastian Baez		Nicolai Budkov Kjaer

	1	2
	1.33	3.4	Watch
	1.33	3.25	Watch
	1.3	3.25	Watch
	1.31	3.7
			Watch
	1.33	3.3	Watch
	1.31	3.48	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.32 ↑ (1.2)	3.4 ↓ (3.88)

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sebastian Baez
72%

Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
28%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

76.4%

23.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sebastian Baez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Nicolai Budkov Kjaer has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
36.4%	0%	63.6%

Sebastian Baez - Nicolai Budkov Kjaer Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Baez will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). Budkov Kjaer will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Budkov Kjaer: 35.2% – 92%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Baez (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Baez is ranked ATP: 37. Budkov Kjaer is ranked ATP: 298.

Recent form of Baez has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Budkov Kjaer is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Budkov Kjaer may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Baez is a strong favorite.

We predict that Budkov Kjaer will win today's game, with odds of 3.31.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sebastian Baez
ATP Wimbledon
01.07.25	Jack Draper - Sebastian Baez	Baez S. retired ✺
Exhibition Boodles Challenge Men
27.06.25	Alexei Popyrin - Sebastian Baez	2:1 ✺
26.06.25	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Sebastian Baez	1:2 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
26.05.25	Miomir Kecmanovic - Sebastian Baez	3:2 ✺
ATP Hamburg
20.05.25	Sebastian Baez - Camilo Ugo Carabelli	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 ?LWLL
- Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
ATP Bastad
15.07.25	Thiago Monteiro - Nicolai Budkov Kjaer	1:2 ✺
14.07.25	Nicolai Budkov Kjaer - Pablo Llamas Ruiz	2:1 ✺
13.07.25	Thiago Seyboth Wild - Nicolai Budkov Kjaer	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
08.07.25	Jack Pinnington Jones - Nicolai Budkov Kjaer	2:0 ✺
07.07.25	Nicolai Budkov Kjaer - Amit Vales	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.7 WWWLW

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