Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Rome, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 14 May 2026, Thursday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports 1, beIN Sports 2
Brazil	ESPN 2
Czech-republic	CANAL+ Sport 2
Denmark	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport X
Finland	DAZN
France	beIN Sports 3
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis
Hungary	Match 4
Poland	CANAL+ Sport 2
Romania	Digi Sport 2
Slovakia	Voyo
Sweden	DAZN
Ukraine	Setanta Sports Premium
United-kingdom	Sky Sports Tennis


	Iga Swiatek		Elina Svitolina

	1	2
	1.25	4	Watch
	1.25	4	Watch
	1.27	4.31
	1.29	4.3	Watch
	1.25	4
	1.27	3.97	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.26 ↓ (1.4)	4.1 ↑ (2.96)

The best margin for this event is 0.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Iga Swiatek
76.4%

Elina Svitolina
23.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.9%

32.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.1%

29.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Iga Swiatek has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Iga Swiatek's performance.

Elina Svitolina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Elina Svitolina might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Iga Swiatek than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Iga Swiatek that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elina Svitolina than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Elina Svitolina could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Iga Swiatek - Elina Svitolina Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Swiatek will win (votes: 5 - 33.3%). Svitolina will win (votes: 10 - 66.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Svitolina: 42.8% – 90.6%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -5 Games - Swiatek (1.88) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Swiatek (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Swiatek is ranked WTA: 3. Svitolina is ranked WTA: 10.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Swiatek won 3.

Swiatek has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Svitolina is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

In this match, Swiatek is seen as the favorite.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Swiatek won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:4. (average 1.7:0.7).

Last Results with these Odds

Iga Swiatek - the odds 1.4 are the expected chance of winning is 67.89%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Iga Swiatek
WTA Roma
13.05.26	Jessica Pegula - Iga Swiatek	0:2 ✺
11.05.26	Naomi Osaka - Iga Swiatek	0:2 ✺
10.05.26	Elisabaetta Cocciaretto - Iga Swiatek	0:2 ✺
08.05.26	Caty McNally - Iga Swiatek	1:2 ✺
WTA Madrid
25.04.26	Iga Swiatek - Ann Li	Swiatek I. Retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WWWW?
- Elina Svitolina
WTA Roma
13.05.26	Elina Svitolina - Elena Rybakina	2:1 ✺
11.05.26	Elina Svitolina - Nikola Bartunkova	2:0 ✺
10.05.26	Elina Svitolina - Hailey Baptiste	2:0 ✺
08.05.26	Elina Svitolina - Noemi Basiletti	2:0 ✺
WTA Madrid
23.04.26	Anna Bondar - Elina Svitolina	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

WTA Indian Wells
12.03.26	Elina Svitolina - Iga Swiatek	2:1
WTA Roland Garros
03.06.25	Elina Svitolina - Iga Swiatek	0:2
WTA Miami
24.03.25	Elina Svitolina - Iga Swiatek	0:2
WTA Dubai
21.02.24	Iga Swiatek - Elina Svitolina	2:0
WTA Wimbledon
11.07.23	Iga Swiatek - Elina Svitolina	1:2
WTA Roma
15.05.21	Iga Swiatek - Elina Svitolina	2:0

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