Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: US Open, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 5 September 2026, Saturday

Location: USTA Billie Jean King NTC (New York, NY)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	HBO Max


	Iga Swiatek		Marie Bouzkova

	1	2
	1.14	5.5	Watch
	1.14	5.50
	1.15	5.25
	1.17	6.19
	1.14	5.98	Watch
	1.14	6.1
	1.21	4.72	Watch
	1.16	5.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.16 ↑ (1.11)	5.58 ↓ (6.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 19.50

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Iga Swiatek
82.8%

Marie Bouzkova
17.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

85.4%

14.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Iga Swiatek has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Marie Bouzkova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	0%	14.3%

Iga Swiatek - Marie Bouzkova Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Swiatek will win (votes: 6 - 85.7%). Bouzkova will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

H/A, 1st Set - Swiatek (1.25) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1.5 Sets - Bouzkova (2.35) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +7.5 Games - Bouzkova (1.27) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Swiatek (votes: 3 - 60%). Bouzkova (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Swiatek is ranked WTA: 8. Bouzkova is ranked WTA: 26.

Right now, both players are showing solid form.

Bouzkova may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Swiatek is the clear favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Swiatek won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:0. (average 2:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Iga Swiatek
WTA US Open
03.09.26	Iga Swiatek - Nadia Podoroska	2:0 ✺
31.08.26	Iga Swiatek - Xiyu Wang	2:0 ✺
WTA Cincinnati
22.08.26	Jessica Pegula - Iga Swiatek	2:1 ✺
20.08.26	Iga Swiatek - Elena Rybakina	Rybakina E. Retired ✺
19.08.26	Iga Swiatek - Diane Parry	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WWL?W
- Marie Bouzkova
WTA US Open
03.09.26	Harriet Dart - Marie Bouzkova	0:2 ✺
31.08.26	Elsa Jacquemot - Marie Bouzkova	0:2 ✺
WTA Cincinnati
19.08.26	Cori Gauff - Marie Bouzkova	2:0 ✺
18.08.26	Marie Bouzkova - Iva Jovic	2:0 ✺
16.08.26	Marie Bouzkova - Lucrezia Stefanini	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

WTA Australian Open
22.01.26	Marie Bouzkova - Iga Swiatek	0:2
WTA Wuhan
07.10.25	Marie Bouzkova - Iga Swiatek	0:2
WTA Roland Garros
31.05.24	Iga Swiatek - Marie Bouzkova	2:0

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