Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Cancun 2, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 16 August 2025, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Slovakia	Arena sport 2


	Ignacio Buse		Dalibor Svrcina

	1	2
	2.38	1.53	Watch
	2.1	1.65	Watch
	2.37	1.52	Watch
	2.6	1.54
	2.15	1.64	Watch
	2.1	1.67	Watch
			Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.28 ↑ (2.18)	1.59 ↓ (1.65)

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ignacio Buse
41.1%

Dalibor Svrcina
58.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.1%

56.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.4%

57.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ignacio Buse has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Dalibor Svrcina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ignacio Buse than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dalibor Svrcina than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	0%	87.5%

Ignacio Buse - Dalibor Svrcina Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Svrcina (votes: 2 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Dalibor Svrcina will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Buse is ranked ATP: 140. Svrcina is ranked ATP: 115.

In recent matches, Buse has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Svrcina is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Buse may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

We predict that Svrcina will win today's game, with odds of 1.65.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Last Results with these Odds

Ignacio Buse - the odds 2.18 are the expected chance of winning is 43.08%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ignacio Buse
ATP Challenger
15.08.25	Daniel Altmaier - Ignacio Buse	1:2 ✺
14.08.25	Ignacio Buse - Beibit Zhukayev	2:0 ✺
14.08.25	Daniel Elahi Galan - Ignacio Buse	0:2 ✺
ATP Kitzbuhel
22.07.25	Arthur Cazaux - Ignacio Buse	2:1 ✺
ATP Gstaad
19.07.25	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Ignacio Buse	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 WWWLL
- Dalibor Svrcina
ATP Challenger
15.08.25	Jesper De Jong - Dalibor Svrcina	0:2 ✺
14.08.25	Alexis Galarneau - Dalibor Svrcina	0:2 ✺
12.08.25	Juan Alejandro Hernandez - Dalibor Svrcina	0:2 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
06.08.25	Adrian Mannarino - Dalibor Svrcina	2:0 ✺
05.08.25	Yosuke Watanuki - Dalibor Svrcina	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WWWLW

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