Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Cincinnati - Qualification, hard - Final

Date: 6 August 2025, Wednesday


	Adrian Mannarino		Dalibor Svrcina

	1	2
			Watch
	1.5	2.45	Watch
	1.47	2.4	Watch
	1.5	2.65
	1.57	2.31	Watch
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.6	2.25	Watch
	1.76	1.99
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↓ (1.76)	2.33 ↑ (1.99)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Adrian Mannarino
59.8%

Dalibor Svrcina
40.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.1%

46.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.2%

46.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Adrian Mannarino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Adrian Mannarino's performance.

Dalibor Svrcina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Dalibor Svrcina might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Adrian Mannarino than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Adrian Mannarino that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dalibor Svrcina than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Dalibor Svrcina could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
70%	0%	30%

Adrian Mannarino - Dalibor Svrcina Predictions

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Mannarino will win (votes: 14 - 70%). Svrcina will win (votes: 6 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mannarino: 49.9% – 90.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Mannarino (votes: 5 - 50%). Svrcina (votes: 5 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.5 Games - Mannarino (1.62) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 11 Selected Experts predict this event. Mannarino (votes: 6 - 54.5%). Svrcina (votes: 5 - 45.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Mannarino is ranked ATP: 94. Svrcina is ranked ATP: 120.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Svrcina may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Adrian Mannarino
ATP Cincinnati
05.08.25	Adrian Mannarino - Mitchell Krueger	2:0 ✺
ATP Toronto
30.07.25	Adrian Mannarino - Ben Shelton	0:2 ✺
28.07.25	Marcos Giron - Adrian Mannarino	0:2 ✺
26.07.25	Adrian Mannarino - Juan Carlos Manuel Aguilar	2:0 ✺
ATP Los Cabos
15.07.25	James Duckworth - Adrian Mannarino	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WLWWL
- Dalibor Svrcina
ATP Cincinnati
05.08.25	Yosuke Watanuki - Dalibor Svrcina	0:2 ✺
ATP Toronto
29.07.25	Daniil Medvedev - Dalibor Svrcina	2:0 ✺
28.07.25	Alexander Blockx - Dalibor Svrcina	0:2 ✺
26.07.25	Dalibor Svrcina - Yosuke Watanuki	1:2 ✺
ATP Gstaad
14.07.25	Roman Andres Burruchaga - Dalibor Svrcina	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WLWLL

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