Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Cancun 2, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 15 August 2025, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


Slovakia	Arena sport 2


	Jesper De Jong		Dalibor Svrcina

	1	2
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.6	2.2	Watch
	1.59	2.22	Watch
	1.68	2.27
	1.57	2.32	Watch
	1.53	2.38	Watch
			Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↓ (1.68)	2.27 ↑ (2.24)

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jesper De Jong
58.8%

Dalibor Svrcina
41.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.1%

42.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.1%

42.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jesper De Jong has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Dalibor Svrcina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jesper De Jong than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dalibor Svrcina than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
94.1%	0%	5.9%

Jesper De Jong - Dalibor Svrcina Predictions

Users Predictions: Jesper De Jong will win (16 of 17 users predict this - 94.12%).
Confidence interval (95%): 82.94% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Jesper De Jong will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

De Jong is ranked ATP: 79. Svrcina is ranked ATP: 115.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

De Jong may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

De Jong will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, De Jong won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Jesper De Jong - the odds 1.68 are the expected chance of winning is 57.14%, but this team recently wins 70% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jesper De Jong
ATP Challenger
14.08.25	Jesper De Jong - Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez	2:0 ✺
ATP Umag
24.07.25	Carlos Taberner - Jesper De Jong	2:0 ✺
23.07.25	Jesper De Jong - Mariano Navone	2:0 ✺
22.07.25	Jesper De Jong - Mili Poljicak	2:0 ✺
ATP Bastad
20.07.25	Luciano Darderi - Jesper De Jong	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WLWWL
- Dalibor Svrcina
ATP Challenger
14.08.25	Alexis Galarneau - Dalibor Svrcina	0:2 ✺
12.08.25	Juan Alejandro Hernandez - Dalibor Svrcina	0:2 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
06.08.25	Adrian Mannarino - Dalibor Svrcina	2:0 ✺
05.08.25	Yosuke Watanuki - Dalibor Svrcina	0:2 ✺
ATP Toronto
29.07.25	Daniil Medvedev - Dalibor Svrcina	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
21.04.23	Jesper De Jong - Dalibor Svrcina	0:2

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