Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Montevideo, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 10 November 2025, Monday


	Ignacio Buse		Timofey Skatov

	1	2
	1.3	3.4	Watch
			Watch
	1.3	3.2
	1.34	3.31
	1.10	6.08	Watch
	1.31	3.15	Watch
	1.3	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.28 ↓ (1.36)	3.74 ↑ (2.9)

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ignacio Buse
74.6%

Timofey Skatov
25.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.1%

31.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.7%

29.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ignacio Buse has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ignacio Buse's performance.

Timofey Skatov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Timofey Skatov might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ignacio Buse than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Timofey Skatov than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

Ignacio Buse - Timofey Skatov Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Buse is ranked ATP: 109. Skatov is ranked ATP: 237.

In recent matches, Buse has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Skatov is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Buse may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Buse is seen as the favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Buse won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ignacio Buse
ATP Challenger
06.11.25	Ignacio Buse - Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva	0:2 ✺
04.11.25	Ignacio Buse - Miguel Tobon	2:1 ✺
31.10.25	Ignacio Buse - Alvaro Guillen Meza	1:2 ✺
30.10.25	Ignacio Buse - Juan Bautista Torres	2:0 ✺
28.10.25	Ignacio Buse - Franco Roncadelli	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LWLWW
- Timofey Skatov
ATP Challenger
04.11.25	Timofey Skatov - Christian Garin	0:2 ✺
27.10.25	Timofey Skatov - Gonzalo Villanueva	0:2 ✺
ATP Almaty
14.10.25	Rinky Hijikata - Timofey Skatov	2:1 ✺
14.10.25	Nicolas Jarry - Timofey Skatov	Canceled ✺
ATP Challenger
05.10.25	Timofey Skatov - Akira Santillan	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 LLL?L

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
03.06.25	Timofey Skatov - Ignacio Buse	0:2

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