Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Lima 2, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 4 November 2025, Tuesday


	Timofey Skatov		Christian Garin

	1	2
	2.75	1.4	Watch
	2.75	1.4	Watch
	2.86	1.38	Watch
	2.77	1.39	Watch
	3.55	1.29
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.94 ↓ (3.08)	1.37 ↑ (1.33)

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Timofey Skatov
31.8%

Christian Garin
68.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.1%

69.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.5%

72.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Timofey Skatov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Christian Garin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Timofey Skatov than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Christian Garin than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

Timofey Skatov - Christian Garin Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Skatov is ranked ATP: 238. Garin is ranked ATP: 105.

Skatov is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Garin is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Skatov may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Skatov won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Christian Garin - the odds 1.33 are the expected chance of winning is 69.89%, but this team recently wins 86% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Timofey Skatov
ATP Challenger
27.10.25	Timofey Skatov - Gonzalo Villanueva	0:2 ✺
ATP Almaty
14.10.25	Rinky Hijikata - Timofey Skatov	2:1 ✺
14.10.25	Nicolas Jarry - Timofey Skatov	Canceled ✺
ATP Challenger
05.10.25	Timofey Skatov - Akira Santillan	0:2 ✺
23.09.25	Liam Draxl - Timofey Skatov	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 LL?LL
- Christian Garin
ATP Challenger
28.10.25	Lautaro Midon - Christian Garin	Canceled ✺
26.10.25	Christian Garin - Daniel Vallejo	Garin C. retired ✺
25.10.25	Mariano Navone - Christian Garin	0:2 ✺
25.10.25	Andrea Collarini - Christian Garin	1:2 ✺
23.10.25	Genaro Alberto Olivieri - Christian Garin	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 ??WWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Wimbledon
27.06.24	Christian Garin - Timofey Skatov	3:0
Davis Cup World Group
04.02.23	Christian Garin - Timofey Skatov	0:2

Timofey Skatov - Christian Garin: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide